The possibility of Turkey’s joining the European Union (EU) is, at best, 1%, Aleksander Khramchikhin, Head of the Analytical Department, Institute of Political and Military Analysis, told NEWS.am. He added that he said “1%” only not to say “0%”.According to him, many of the EU member-states do not want to see Turkey among themselves. “And they have a lot of good excuse for that,” he said, pointing out the Armenian Genocide, Kurdish and Cyprus problems.

Specifically, the expert pointed out that Kurds’ behavior in Turkey is, to a great extent, dependent on Kurds’ behavior in Iraq. “Iraqi Kurdistan is actually independent and is only formally part of Iraq. When Americans leave Iraq – and they will certainly do – Iraq will start disintegrating, and Turkey will get a new neighbor,” Khramchikhin said. It is a “nightmare” for Turkey. According to him, it will even aggravate Turkish Kurds’ problem, as “their Iraqi nationals will not share the profits from oil with them and allow them to settle down in their territory, which is small as it is.” On the contrary, they will galvanize Turkish Kurds to create their own state in Turkey’s territory.

As to the possibility of Kurds’ success in Turkey, Khramchikhin said it is not high. Turkey is a great power with sufficient resources to prevent such developments. However, the problem will constantly attract attention and be made use of other states in the world political arena.

NEWS.AM